A practical guide for business and technical professionals comparing variance, entropy, and mutual information in financial analysis
Variance is the first stop for most teams. It measures the spread of returns and gives a quick read on uncertainty. But in Indian markets, with their unpredictable swings and non-normal distributions, variance can oversimplify. It can miss the nuances of tail risks or nonlinear dependencies, making it just one part of a comprehensive toolkit.
Entropy quantifies unpredictability across all outcomes—not just the width of a distribution. For portfolios holding a mix of Indian asset types, entropy clarifies how much is genuinely uncertain. The calculation is more demanding, requiring robust probability estimates, but the payoff is a clearer risk picture.
Mutual information detects hidden dependencies.
Mutual information reveals when assets share hidden relationships. Even uncorrelated pairs can hold surprises—mutual information captures those links. For technical teams, it’s a powerful way to check that diversification isn’t just an illusion.